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sudsitology

2024 Sudsitology - 2024 Final Seed List Accuracy

67/68 teams in bracket correct


42 teams have correct seed

17 teams have seed off by 1

7 teams have seed off by 2

1 team has seed off by 3

1 team not in bracket*


Paymon Score** = 344

Average Paymon Score in Bracket Matrix = 338.6

Variance = +5.4 3-year weighted average = +2.10

5-year weighted average = +2.17

Years completed = 5


Average Deviation*** = 0.515



*Misses:

  • I had Oklahoma as a 10 seed, but they were 1st team out

  • I had Virginia as my 2nd team out, but they were a 10 seed

**Paymon Score:

  • 3 points for each team correctly picked, 3 points for each team correctly seeded, and 1 point for each team not seeded correctly but within one seed line

  • (67*3 + 42*3 + 17*1) = 344

  • Weighted average gives 5 points for the most recent year, 4 points for the prior year, etc., divided by total weight

  • 3-year: [(5.4*5) + (-0.5*4) + (0.0*3)] / 12 = +2.10

  • 5-year: [(5.4*5) + (-0.5*4) + (0.0*3) + (-3.4*2) + (14.1*1)] / 15 = +2.17

***Average Deviation

  • (42*0 + 18*1 + 7*2 + 1*3) / 68 = 0.515

  • For calculation, I valued Virginia as being within one seed line, since they were my 2nd team out, and they're part of the Last Four In


Comparisons:


Paymon Score and Variance:

  • Suds: 344, +5.4

  • Matrix: 342, +3.4

  • Lunardi: 336, -2.6

  • Palm: 323, -15.6

5-Year Weighted Average:

  • Suds: +2.17

  • Lunardi: +1.03

  • Palm: -8.50

Rank in Bracket Veterans:

  • Suds: # 109

  • Lunardi: # 118

  • Palm: # 164

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