67/68 teams in bracket correct
45 teams have correct seed
20 teams have seed off by 1
2 teams have seed off by 2
1 team not in bracket*
Paymon Score** = 356
Average Paymon Score in Bracket Matrix = 356.5
Variance = -0.5
5-year weighted average = +1.11
Years completed = 4
Average Deviation*** = 0.368
*Misses:
I had Rutgers as an 11 seed, but they were First Four Out
I had Pittsburgh as my 1st team out, but they were an 11 seed
**Paymon Score:
3 points for each team correctly picked, 3 points for each team correctly seeded, and 1 point for each team not seeded correctly but within one seed line
(67*3 + 45*3 + 20*1) = 356
Weighted average gives 5 points for the most recent year, 4 points for the prior year, etc., divided by total weight
[(-0.5)*5) + (0.0*4) + (-3.4*3) + (14.1*2)] / 14 = +1.11
***Average Deviation
(45*0 + 21*1 + 2*2) / 68 = 0.368
For calculation, I valued Pittsburgh as being within one seed line, since they were my 1st team out, and they're part of the Last Four In
Comparisons:
Paymon Score and Variance:
Palm: 361, +4.5
Lunardi: 359, +2.5
Suds: 356, -0.5
DeCourcy: 349, -7.5
5-Year Weighted Average:
Lunardi: +3.59
Suds: +1.11
Palm: -4.15